Trend Czar

About This Blog

Unvarnished truth. Consultant Jonathan Miller (Miller-Ryan) has compelling views on the market, and he shares them with GlobeSt.com subscribers.
  • "What Should I Do?"

    Some recent private chit-chat heard among a group of prominent real estate dealmakers: “Land prices are out of reach.” “I’m struggling with low yields.” “Opportunities are harder to find.” “You can’t make the numbers work on (building) condos.” “Not buying existing core assets.” “Spread compression is too much.” “It’s insane pricing on industrial.” “Underwriting is loosening.” “It’s a tremendous time to borrow.” “Debt has never been cheaper. “We’re seeing limited or no call protection--loans will come back to you.” …

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  • Infrastructure Spending Post Mid-terms: More of Less

    The new totally GOP-controlled Congress appears poised to continue the course for infrastructure policy set by the House during the last two sessions— in the politest terms that amounts to benign neglect. In fairness, most Democrats have been reluctant to raise the federal gas tax too or find other funding sources for the nation’s rapidly deteriorating roads, bridges and tunnels, not to mention rusting water lines and overtaxed sewage treatment systems as well as crumbling…

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  • Downtown LA Revival—For Millennials Only?

    You can pick up some of your most cogent, well-spoken market information from cab drivers… A hack in LA was no exception earlier this week. “It’s the smart young people who work hard and play hard who are moving into downtown.” And he should know—he shuttles them back-and forth between the Staples Center’s one-big open sports-bar scene and rental apartment towers, which spring up and shoehorn in among office buildings and decked parking garages east…

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  • Wall Street Swoon Raises Real Estate Worries

    Real estate lags, the stock market predicts… So should we be worried? Really only perceptions among investors are finally changing by turning more pessimistic. For real estate markets—retail and hotels will register the impacts sooner. The recent volatile downward moves on Wall Street and world exchanges only underscore what has been obvious—the global economy remains impaired and has lived off extremely low interest rates. Europe has not recovered from the 2008 debt crisis—ageing demographics and welfare state systems…

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  • The Waldorf and Strong Dollar

    Waldorf Hotel Sale: Here is a confluence of an offshore investor seeking to park money in a safe place, the power of 24-hour city-global gateway dynamics, and overshooting on iconic properties.  Just up Park Avenue two condo developers hope to cash in on the same factors by building sky-high trophy towers to attract skittish capital.  You think wealthy Chinese are not nervous over the Hong Kong demonstrations—highlighting the widening gap between rich and poor? How…

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