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There’s good economic news breaking out all over,  it seems.  The Fed’s Beige Book report, released July 29, suggests that the pace of economic decline has started to slow.  The stock market liked this news, responding with gains per Bloomberg. But does a little bit of economic improvement mean that the worst is over for commercial real estate?  or that we’ll have a fast recovery in CRE?  I don’t think so.

Despite all the talk of “green shoots” and economic improvement,  it is likely that CRE will suffer for a significant amount of time.Why?  There is simply not enough growth to increase demand for commercial space.   Consumer demand, which for better or worse drives our economy, is way down, for a number of reasons:

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