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Economic growth in the US is slowly trending upward, as are commercial real estate fundamentals. The recovery isn’t rapid enough, though, to keep loan delinquencies from ticking upward at the same time. Lenders, now in a better position to pick their battles, are growing more selective about extending loans. All of this portends a further rise in commercial mortgage defaults, whether on balance-sheet loans or CMBS, and the potential for more assets to come to market through REO sales.

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