According to the report, GDP growth is expected to slow to 2.6%this year, the Fed will likely maintain its "wait and see" approachto interest rates, and developers will bring about 120 million sfof new projects online, as opposed to the 130 million sf opened in2006. Even the big-box chains such as Wal-Mart have announcedreduced expansion plans for 2007. Retail demand is expected tocool, the report says, as homeowners stop pulling out home equityand are faced with adjustable rate mortgages shooting higher.

That's not to say that tenants won't do well, however. Lessconstruction means the demand will have limited choices, andvacancy is forecast to increase only 10 basis points to 8.9%.Bernie Haddigan, managing director of the company's National RetailGroup, says it should be a good year for quality properties.

"We've seen this trend in the past six months, there's moresensitivity to quality," Haddigan tells GlobeSt.com. "In 1998-2001,there was a standard market. In 2002, value-driven started movingup, and the cost of capital fueled the frenzy. Starting late 2006,everything has been priced to perfection. There's an enormousdemand for high-quality."

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.