"Obviously the volatile markets of the last year have created great concern for those seeking capital, and the decline in development is the consequence," says Douglas Howe, NAIOP chairman and president of Touchstone Corp. in Seattle. "While the overall consensus of this survey is somber, there's hope that most indicators will at least stabilize in 2010."

Still, though, the credit crisis remains a huge factor for most respondents. In 2008, only 28% felt that borrowing was getting better. In 2009, that number remained basically the same at 29%. In 2009, 64% of respondents felt that borrowing money was the same or somewhat easier than a year ago. Confidence improved for 2010, with 80% of this year's respondents indicating that borrowing money will remain difficult or become somewhat more available, mainly coming from banks, private investors and insurance companies.Overall investment activity is down 90% compared to a year ago. Besides the constraints in the capital markets, the continued gap of seller and purchaser expectations remains a challenge, the survey found. The most active office product being transacted remains prime, stabilized assets with credit tenants where there is some competition among buyers.

Other findings from the report:

  • The majority of respondents felt that industrial rents declined in 2009; in 2010, almost 32% of respondents feel that rents will improve as industrial availability rates start leveling off;
  • Most respondents expect rents to level off in 2010 with a few markets expecting a slight increase. Office vacancy rates are expected to continue to increase in 2010 and level off by the end of the year.
NOT FOR REPRINT

© Touchpoint Markets, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more inforrmation visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Erika Morphy

Erika Morphy has been writing about commercial real estate at GlobeSt.com for more than ten years, covering the capital markets, the Mid-Atlantic region and national topics. She's a nerd so favorite examples of the former include accounting standards, Basel III and what Congress is brewing.