Based on the low mark of 1.6% turnover among the city'sapproximately 165,000 buildings set in 1992 and repeated in thepost-recessionary year of 2003, "we assumed 1.6% was the baselineand volume would never go any lower," Robert Knakal, chairman ofMassey Knakal, said Tuesday morning at a media briefing. Yet with aturnover rate of 0.87% citywide, "2009 shattered that theory."

Depending on the borough and property sector, turnover in 2010will range from 1.2% to 1.6%. "We think we have passed the bottomin terms of low volume," said Knakal. The yearly average for thepast 25 years has been 2.6%.

The year's $6.3 billion in sales of commercial and multifamilyproperties worth at least $500,000 was off 90% from the 2007 peakof $62.2 billion, Knakal said. Down even more sharply on apercentage basis was the average selling price of Manhattan assets:$4.4 million last year, compared to $52.5 million in '07. With thatsaid, the borough also fared best in terms of the number oftransactions: off only 67% last year from the '07 peak.

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Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny is managing editor of Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com. He has been reporting on business since 1988 and on commercial real estate since 2007. He is based at ALM Real Estate Media Group's offices in New York City.