Whether Thornberg cleared up the uncertainty remains to be seen,but he did provide was a better understanding of what is happeningright now with the recovery and where he thinks we are headed. "Inmany ways, where our economy is right now is a place where ithasn't ever been before," he said. "While it is recovering in astrong way right now, it is recovering for the wrong reasons and ismoving from a private to a public bubble."

There is no doubt that the recession is over, he said. As amatter of fact, Thornberg said that 2010 may be stronger thanpeople expect. But what is driving the economic recovery, he said,is the most aggressive fiscal and monetary policy we have everseen. "This is a problem because these policies are creating a newbubble, rather than allowing us to fully recover from the lastone," Thornberg said.

California is basically stabilized overall, but the state'sproblems "aren't solved, they are simply hidden," according toThornberg. What is worrisome to him is consumer spending, which asa percentage income is at an all-time high. "We haven't solved ourspending binge," he said, "we have hidden it, and we can't do thisforever."

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.

Natalie Dolce

Natalie Dolce, editor-in-chief of GlobeSt.com and GlobeSt. Real Estate Forum, is responsible for working with editorial staff, freelancers and senior management to help plan the overarching vision that encompasses GlobeSt.com, including short-term and long-term goals for the website, how content integrates through the company’s other product lines and the overall quality of content. Previously she served as national executive editor and editor of the West Coast region for GlobeSt.com and Real Estate Forum, and was responsible for coverage of news and information pertaining to that vital real estate region. Prior to moving out to the Southern California office, she was Northeast bureau chief, covering New York City for GlobeSt.com. Her background includes a stint at InStyle Magazine, and as managing editor with New York Press, an alternative weekly New York City paper. In her career, she has also covered a variety of beats for M magazine, Arthur Frommer's Budget Travel, FashionLedge.com, and Co-Ed magazine. Dolce has also freelanced for a number of publications, including MSNBC.com and Museums New York magazine.