WASHINGTON, DC-Republicans are going to take over the Houseof Representatives, pick up a number ofgovernorships--which is especially significant in are-districting year--but will not likely get the Senate.So said Larry Sabato, University of Virginia Center for Politics director, one of the keynote speakers at the Urban Land Institute’s annual conference, which is winding downtoday.
Sabato’s track record is exceedingly good, so for all intents we can skip the debate about last-minute surges anderroneous poll numbers and get to the questionGlobeSt.com readers most want to know: what will aRepublican surge mean for commercial real estate? Normally this is a subject of greatest concern in a presidential election year but the economy is still fraught withuncertainty and partisan passions are running higherthan ever. In short, even a mid-cycle election will haveimplications for the industry.
The most obvious change will be legislative gridlock, Sabatosaid. Many of the winning Republican seats will be heldby so-called Tea Party candidates, who are in no mood tocompromise. There is zero chance of Congress passingambitious legislation in the next two years, Sabatosaid. “In fact, I doubt we could even see this next Congress agree on language for a Mother’s Day resolution.”Controversial legislation the industry had beendreading, such as carried interest, is all but certainto be relegated to the backburner until after the presidential election.
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