WASHINGTON, DC-The volume of distressed properties appears to haveplateaued for this cycle at $186.9 billion, which isholding near the peak of $191.5 billion in October 2010,according to a new report by Delta Associates that uses numbersprovided by Real Capital Analytics. Delta has been noticing thistrend for several months, the firm’s CEO, Greg Leisch, toldGlobeSt.com in an earlier interview.

This latest examination of the study looks beyond the industry’simmediate sigh of relief and asks the question: when will thevolume of distress finally begin to recede? Unfortunately, 2012 isthe popular answer. To that end, Delta notes that the distressplateau began in the spring, but it doesn’t foresee any meaningfulprogress until 2012, as lenders continue to extend debtobligations, and commercial property values are stabilizing in manymarkets.

Next year may well prove to be another painful 12 months, thereport notes. There is some $300 billion of loans coming due. Also,fundamentals still have a long way to go if they are to reliablysupport the increasing property valuations being spotted in certainmarkets.

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Erika Morphy

Erika Morphy has been writing about commercial real estate at GlobeSt.com for more than ten years, covering the capital markets, the Mid-Atlantic region and national topics. She's a nerd so favorite examples of the former include accounting standards, Basel III and what Congress is brewing.