How Will Rising Interest Rates Impact Condo Sales?

Rising interest rates are expected to have a significant impact on the condo market next year. According to a recent report from Polaris Pacific, condo sales volumes dropped significantly in October as a result of high pricing pushing some buyers out of the home buying market. Next year, rising interest rates could likely put downward pressure on condo prices in Los Angeles, and it could lead to a declining market.

“Increased rates will play a significant role in shaping both buyer sentiment and affordability,” Mike Akerly, VP and regional manager at Polaris Pacific, tells GlobeSt.com. “That, in turn, could have an impact on the pricing trajectory. It is likely that there could be a pullback in the rate of appreciation or even a slightly declining market.”

Rising interest rates have an impact on condo sales both because of buyer’s perception of increasing interest rates and their impact on the economy and on affordability, according to Akerly. “Many current home purchasers have become accustomed to the low, roughly 4% rates that we have enjoyed for the past six years,” he explains. “The 90+ basis point increase we have experienced in the past year is surprising to them even though they are still extremely low when compared to the average of the past twenty years, which is closer to 5.5%. But rates are likely to continue to inch up through 2019, and eventually, the new normal will be accepted by the market and buyers will no longer see these rates as unexpected or likely to retreat.”