In its recently-releasedbi-annual Financial Stability Report, the Federal Reserve issued a grim warning thatasset prices remain vulnerable to significant price declines shouldthe pandemic take an unexpected course. One example in particular,it said, was commercial real estate.
CRE prices were already high relative to fundamentals before thepandemic, it noted, and disruptions in the hospitality and retailsectors have been severe.
"The vulnerability stemming from elevated CRE valuationpressures, coupled with a dim outlook for the sector as indicatedby recent declines in equity REIT prices, suggests that CRE mayundergo a substantial repricing in response to disruptionsgenerated by the COVID-19 pandemic," it said.
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