Despite uncertainty brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic, Florida's real estate industry may be primed to recover with a sharp rebound.
According to a JLL report, prior epidemics that affected Florida's real estate market recovered quickly, with the market spiking about 30% in the year following the 2002 SARS pandemic, which caused 286 global deaths. A less sharp recovery followed the 1918 Spanish flu, which caused 675,000 deaths in the US, with the industry rebounding about 10% the following year. The pandemics triggered a "V-shaped recovery" in Florida's real estate market.
In the last two decades, Florida's downturns in the rental market have seen 7% average rent declines. The Florida market took almost 6 years to return to pre-recession levels. Hardest hit by the financial crisis were Orlando and South Florida, with Orlando a 13.4% decline, and South Florida with a 14.9% decline.
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