Experts: In Less Than a Year Office Will Be Back to Normal

Musings over the “death of office” post-COVID-19 are likely overblown—at least according to a panel of experts convened by Trepp recently to discuss the sector’s path forward.

Instead, office employment will likely pick up while office use moderates, achieving a balancing effect, said Glenn Mueller, a professor at the University of Denver. And what’s more, the sector experienced something of a “pendulum swing” over the course of the pandemic: prior to COVID, the industry had just seen intense “densification” of office space, as distance between desks shrank and co-working heated up. But as Dr. Tori Kerr, managing director at Hines, noted in the Trepp call, the metrics of square feet per employee in a typical office setting doesn’t compute with post-COVID density comfort of requirements.