Housing prices are "increasingly out of step with fundamentals," with evidence pointing to abnormalities experts at the Denver Fed haven't observed since the boom of the early 2000s.

"Reasons for concern are clear in certain economic indicators—the price-to-rent ratio, in particular, and the price-to-income ratio," five economists write in a new analysis of the market.

"While historically low interest rates are a factor, they do not fully explain housing market developments. Other drivers have played a role, including pandemic-related US fiscal stimulus programs and COVID-19-related supply-chain disruptions and associated policy responses," they note. "The resulting fundamental-driven higher house prices may have fueled a fear-of-missing-out wave of exuberance involving new investors and more aggressive speculation among existing investors."

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Breaking commercial real estate news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the property casualty insurance and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.