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Analysis

Inflation Meets Expectations at 4.9% in April

But it’s still stubborn and combined with other news the Fed may see reasons to keep interest rates high.

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers — CPI-U, the usual benchmark for inflation — rose a month-over-month seasonally adjusted 0.4% in April. On a non-adjusted year-over-year basis, it was 4.9%, the lowest figure since May 2021.

Inflation came in as expected by economists, although that doesn’t necessarily help that much because the rate of reduction has slowed tremendously. Furthermore, the April polling by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shows consumers to expect inflation to be 4.4% in a year, 2.9% in three years, and 2.6% in five. Which is to say, the Fed may not get its 2% inflation target for a long time.

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Erik Sherman

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