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How to Be Prepared for Distressed Assets in 2024

With CRE distress on the horizon and a lot of turnover in loan workout groups, what’s the industry to do?

Though there is recent optimism for an improving CRE market in 2024, there is still reason for concern about a potential wave of distressed assets coming due to several factors – reduced property values in several sectors, softening rent growth, a higher interest rate and tightened credit environment, and a wave of maturities coming due that will have trouble refinancing.

When a loan starts to exhibit signs of distress – whether the distress stems from the property itself, the market, or the borrower/owner – lenders start taking a closer look at what is going on with the property and preparing for what decisions they may need to make. Currently, banks are doing whatever they can to avoid taking the keys back, while special servicing groups and loan workout groups are bracing themselves for a potential influx of troubled loans. It has been a while since the industry has had to deal with a high volume of distress and the challenge with these loan workout groups is that they don’t stick around once markets correct themselves – I have heard them joke that they “work themselves out of a job” as they work through the stack of problem loans. This means that lenders and special servicing outfits are now rebuilding and retraining those teams on how to navigate this process and what due diligence should be done to aid in their decision making, avoid potential liabilities, and minimize loss.

Relearn the Due Diligence Basics and What Has Changed Since the Last Downturn

There are several due diligence tools to help the lender wrap their head around the asset and what the best course of action is. Pre-foreclosure due diligence is notably more involved than what is typically done during loan origination, and for good reason – they need to view it with more of an equity lens in case they go on title. There are also new factors to consider that didn’t exist during the last downturn, including new local ordinances, some with hefty fines, and new standards for environmental reports and cleanup levels. The scope of each report may need to be customized to help the lender understand specific issues at the property. Doing adequate due diligence up front will also help to avoid retrades from buyers negotiating aggressively because they know that lenders just want to get rid of the asset.

The distressed asset due diligence toolkit most likely includes the following reports and scope considerations:

The valuation consultant would likely apply a combination of approaches to value including the cost approach, sales comparison approach, and income capitalization approach (direct capitalization and discounted cash flow analysis).

What to do for Troubled Construction Loans?

As any veteran construction lender knows, a proactive and preventative approach to monitoring construction loans is wise even in performing loans. When signals of distress arise, time is of the essence – problems can escalate quickly, especially if work stops on a site. For construction loans that start to exhibit problems, lenders typically need to address three key things in swift order:

Relearn the Nuances – Navigating the Pre-Foreclosure Process

The steps and process of addressing a non-performing loan, and which parties should handle certain parts, can be tricky. Lenders should be mindful of certain “traps” that could present liabilities or tie their hands.

Webinar: Navigating Distressed Asset Due Diligence

There are many other nuances and challenges to consider in this process. While we are cautiously optimistic for an improved CRE market in 2024, it is wise to be prepared for some amount of distress to work its way through the system. To help lenders and special servicers do just that, Partner is hosting a webinar on January 24th at 2pm ET featuring valuation and due diligence experts, an environmental attorney, and a broker who specializes in distressed asset opportunities. Click here to learn more and register.