The past couple of weeks has surely been one of utter uncertainty, black swans appearing simultaneously in various parts of the world, and an administration which seems to still not believe nor understand the full nature nor magnitude of the major threats which exist in Europe and the Mid East. Numerous experts have publicly stated that the terror threat to the US is now greater than it has ever been. The Polish prime minister stated that the world may be on the verge of war in Europe, and Israel has waged war to destroy a terror group which most American allies in the region know to be highly dangerous and in need of annihilation. It seem sonly the US administration and Merkel fail to get it. Putin operates from the standard dictator play book and is relatively impervious to sanctions. If anyone complains too loud he will simply kill them or if they are lucky, just throw them in jail. Sanctions have never won the battle in any country. Where they eventually had some impact like in South Africa it took many years. In the end it solved nothing and the replacement government was far worse than the white government as to corruption and delivering poverty. Iran has withstood sanctions for years and finally it was Obama who blinked, not Iran. Sanctions will do nothing to dissuade Putin. He is a master at the geopolitical power game, and he well understands how to play Obama and Merkel for fools.