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There's a remarkably clear relationship between supply and rents.
The surge in apartment construction is softening the Class B market more than any other asset class.
For one, the Census methodology is notoriously thin and volatile, he writes.
It's going to be a tough road for many developers delivering lease-ups in 2023 and 2024.
"Loss to lease" is the gap between today's market asking rents and the average in-place rent.
It is inflation that is contributing to weakened consumer confidence and heightened uncertainty.
On the flip side, rent payments have fallen the most in subsidized affordable housing – where rents have grown the least.
There's little evidence of a trade-off effect between for-sale and for-rent homes.
There are several factors driving this rebound.
The answer? It's complicated.