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Continued economic growth, labor momentum, and stubborn inflation may not give the Fed the space to cut rates.
Main Street institutions say their loans have been to buildings in use, not largely empty office towers.
Some criticized loan rates spike in major metros.
There was uncertainty about the liquidity of CRE debt capital markets in the year ahead
The total was $42.29 billion for the first six months of the year.
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With the cost of capital staying put, buyers and sellers must do more to uncover investment opportunities and open the door to deals.
One bank expects peak-to-trough property value declines of 71% and a 24% default rate.
Seven banks with more than $100 billion in assets have an uninsured deposit ratio greater than 50%.
Many banks are starting to give up on the long haul and look to shed some of their portfolios.
The same factors that made them of interest in the past are turning out to have hidden consequences.