Almost two years ago I speculated about whether a bad economymight lead to rising crime in 24-hour cities and lead to quality oflife declines, possibly even a return to the scary bad old days ofunsafe streets—mugging and murder mayhem. Aside from modest upticksin murder rates off rock bottom generational lows in some citieslike New York and Washington DC, we’re a far cry from “Death Wish”and “Mean Streets” days. In the last year violent crime has evendipped in Chicago.
But how long can that last if the poverty rate continues torise, states continue to shut down prisons to save costs, citiesshave police forces to stanch red ink, and demographics propels abulge in young adult echo boomer males, the most likely age cohortto commit violent crimes?
Intuitively, you would expect these forces and realities to takehold—just not yet. Or are policing techniques so improved that wedon’t have to worry?
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