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A CRED iQ analysis shows that conditions in many metros tipped in February.
A sudden flood of MBS or CMBS onto the market could undercut current values.
Shuttered bank issued the most CRE-backed loans in city since 2020.
The danger is not enough liquidity to satisfy all depositors in a bank run.
"I hope there is a recognition of the importance of the smaller banks to the structure of the US economy."
Cap rates are on the rise and there's a wave of maturing loans, plus increasing distressed sales.
Still, more private-market pricing degradation is likely, it says.
FOMO will make institutional investors jump in earlier than they might otherwise have.
Hotel was the only segment that registered positive returns in Q4.